Posts tagged: [Geopolitics

Daily Debrief

Hegseth's Job and the Iran War Both on the Line

The strike flagged for Wednesday did not come, oil fell toward $90 and Trump is reported to be weighing Hegseth's job; the analysts split on whether he escalates, exits or squeezes.

[Geopolitics Iran Midterms]

November 5, 2026

Daily Debrief

Trump Loses Congress; Iran Strikes Expected Imminently

Democrats take both houses as exit polls blame the Iran war for gas prices, and CENTCOM could strike within days; the analysts split on whether the loss brakes or speeds it.

[Geopolitics Iran Midterms]

November 4, 2026

Daily Debrief

Explosions Rock Qeshm Island Hours Before the Vote

Explosions on Qeshm Island on election eve, a US attack per the Wall Street Journal, as talk turns to a nuclear strike on Pickaxe Mountain; the analysts say a bomb ends nothing.

[Geopolitics Iran Nuclear]

November 3, 2026

Daily Debrief

“Deal, or We Will End It”: Trump's Terms on Election Eve

US Stratotankers line up at Ramon and Iran's negotiators sit a third day in Doha; one analyst doubts the strike comes, and none says a third round can be won.

[Geopolitics Iran Midterms]

November 2, 2026

Daily Debrief

Khamenei Resurfaces: Iran Will Decide When the War Ends

Khamenei orders a reply to any threat without geographical limits as Washington readies a post-midterm strike; the analysts expect the strike anyway and doubt the US can end it.

[Geopolitics Iran Khamenei]

November 1, 2026

Daily Debrief

Ten US Military Transport Planes Land in Israel Overnight

Ten US transport planes and a reported 80 air refueling tankers gather in Israel as Vance writes to Tehran; the analysts call the letters cover and the strike a matter of days.

[Geopolitics Iran Hormuz]

October 31, 2026