Andrei Martyanov

Andrei Martyanov

Andrei Martyanov is a Soviet-born military and naval analyst who graduated from the Kirov Naval Academy and served as an officer in the Soviet Coast Guard before emigrating to the United States in the mid-1990s, where he has worked in the aerospace industry. He writes the blog Reminiscence of the Future and is the author of several books on military affairs, including Losing Military Supremacy, arguing that Russia and China have overtaken the US in key areas of weapons technology and force structure. He is a regular guest on the Dialogue Works program, where he makes the case that US military capability lags well behind its public self-image.

Where they stand

A short read of where Andrei Martyanov lands on each front we follow, drawn from their recent appearances and refreshed whenever they turn up in a debrief.

Iran
US/Israeli strikes would be impotent: US runs out of munitions in 10 days to two weeks, Iran retaliates, Hormuz stays shut, ground invasion impossible
as of 2026-10-22
Ukraine & Russia
Combined West already humiliated in Ukraine; Russia will get what it set out to get with no concessions; Europe irrelevant
as of 2026-10-22
Israel
Netanyahu drives US decisions and Trump is owned by him; Israel is a war-criminal parasite state dependent on US aid with no independent military
as of 2026-10-22
East Asia
China and Russia are the two ascending powers and are trying to stave off the Iran war; US detached from Eurasia
as of 2026-10-22
American power
US is a dying horse, obsolete force, subverted by Israel; once-a-millennium power shift to Eurasia
as of 2026-10-22
The global economy
A new Hormuz closure spikes oil prices and hurts the US more each iteration; systemic crisis of financial capitalism that cannot be survived
as of 2026-10-22

Recent appearances

ANDREI MARTYANOV - THE NEW "POLYCENTRIC" WORLD ORDER - WITKOFF/KUSHNER GO TO MOSCOW
Garland Nixon · 2026-10-22
2026-10-22 · Dialogue Works (Nima Alkhorshid)watch ↗
BREAKING: U.S. & ISRAELI FIGHTER JETS SIMULATE ATTACK ON IRAN OVER IRAQ - w/ Andrei Martyanov
2026-10-20 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Netanyahu Wants More War. What Did Hegseth Promise? /Andrei Martyanov
2026-10-19 · Mario Nawfalwatch ↗
ZELENSKY SAYS TRUMP IS GETTING HIM TO "CAPITULATE" AFTER U.S. INTEL PAUSE - w/ Andrei Martyanov
2026-10-15 · Dialogue Workswatch ↗
Andrei Martyanov: BREAKING: Yemen Releases Footage of Direct Hit on Saudi Eurofighter Typhoon
2026-10-14 · Garland Nixonwatch ↗
ANDREI MARTYANOV - NATO IS RUNNING OUT OF WEAPONS
2026-10-08 · Garland Nixonwatch ↗
ANDREI MARTYANOV - RUSSIA FIGHTS AT IT'S PREFERRED SPEED - NATO MISSILES MEET RUSSIAN AIR DEFENSE
Earlier appearances (7)
2026-10-05 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Ukraine Hitting Russian Refineries as Trump Pushes for Talks /Andrei Martyanov
2026-09-29 · Garland Nixonwatch ↗
ANDREI MARTYANOV - THE REAL EVOLUTION IN MILITARY AFFAIRS
2026-09-24 · Dialogue Workswatch ↗
Iran conducts ballistic missile tests (w/ Nima Alkhorshid)
2026-09-24 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Will Trump bomb his way to a deal Iran won't sign? (w/ Daniel Davis)
2026-09-10 · Dialogue Works (Nima Alkhorshid)watch ↗
Iran’s IRGC navy attacks an American saildrone in Hormuz
2026-08-31 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Russia’s nonstop drones hit Kiev (w/ Daniel Davis)
2026-08-27 · Dialogue Works (Nima Alkhorshid)watch ↗
No end in sight: inside Washington’s growing alarm