Steve Jermy

Steve Jermy

Steve Jermy is a retired Royal Navy commodore with 28 years of service, who left the navy in 2010 after a career spanning carrier aviation, sea command and senior staff posts. He saw active service in the Falklands War and deployed to the Caribbean, Bosnia and Kosovo; his commands included HM Ships Arrow and Cardiff, the 5th Destroyer Squadron and the Fleet Air Arm, and his last operational tour was in 2007 as Strategy Director at the British Embassy in Kabul. Staff roles included the Ministry of Defence policy planning directorate and Principal Staff Officer to the Chief of Defence Staff. He holds a degree in applied maths and physical oceanography from Bangor and an MPhil in international relations from Cambridge, and wrote "Strategy for Action: Using Force Wisely in the 21st Century" (2011). After the navy he moved into offshore energy, as CEO of Celtic Sea Power and chair of the Celtic Sea Cluster for floating offshore wind. He now writes the Substack "Mor Gallos", contributes to Responsible Statecraft and appears as a guest on independent shows.

Where they stand

A short read of where Steve Jermy lands on each front we follow, drawn from their recent appearances and refreshed whenever they turn up in a debrief.

Iran
Doubts the RAF Fairford truck arrests were Iranian state-sponsored: everyone was bailed and no drones or explosives were found, so it looks blown out of proportion, possibly a criminal act or a breakaway group
as of 2026-10-06
Ukraine & Russia
Russia is winning, Ukraine is committing national suicide, Europe is out of money and strategy
as of 2026-10-26
Israel
Israeli policy is pushing Arabs and Persians together; Greater Israel project is finished
as of 2026-10-26
American power
US military primacy is a shattered myth; Gulf states no longer trust US security guarantees
as of 2026-10-26
The global economy
Gulf oil is still 5 to 10 million barrels a day short of normal despite official claims, with refined products and diesel missing; recovery to the end of next year at best and up to five years to repair Gulf infrastructure
as of 2026-10-06

Recent appearances

Iran FM Araghchi: "Hormuz Will No Longer Be the Same"
Daniel Davis / Deep Dive · 2026-10-26
2026-10-13 · Neutrality Studies (Pascal Lottaz)watch ↗
Europe Can't Win a War With Russia — British Commodore Explains | Steve Jermy
2026-10-06 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Fairford: Real Plot or Ready-Made Pretext for Round Two?
2026-09-22 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
The Houthis' Red Sea offensive drawing the West toward more war
2026-09-09 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
The myth of America's military advantage is collapsing (w/ Steve Jermy)
2026-08-27 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Russia directly threatens British military bases (w/ Steve Jermy)