John Mearsheimer

John Mearsheimer

John Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982, and one of the leading proponents of offensive realism in international relations theory. He is co-author of The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy and author of The Tragedy of Great Power Politics and The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities. He is best known outside academia for arguing that NATO enlargement, not unprovoked aggression, is the root cause of the Ukraine war, a conclusion he reaches through realist theory rather than sympathy for Russia, and he appears frequently on foreign-policy podcasts such as The Peacemonger, hosted by former UK diplomat Ian Proud.

Where they stand

A short read of where John Mearsheimer lands on each front we follow, drawn from their recent appearances and refreshed whenever they turn up in a debrief.

Iran
Iran will not concede defeat after a US strike on Pickaxe Mountain; Trump cannot declare victory and leave
as of 2026-11-04
Ukraine & Russia
Ukraine is going to lose; Western hawks who backed it are responsible and will now inflate the Putin threat to rescue their reputations
as of 2026-10-27
Israel
Netanyahu led Trump into the war and is now pushing a chemical-weapons claim to restart it; the outcome is disastrous for Israel strategically and criticism of the lobby is now mainstream in both parties
as of 2026-11-04
East Asia
The Gulf war wears down the US Navy and wrecks its mission of containing China in East Asia
as of 2026-10-27
American power
Midterm blowout is a repudiation of Trump over the Iran war; Republicans will distance themselves and Trump is boxed in
as of 2026-11-04
The global economy
A resumed Iran war would see Iranian strikes on Gulf oil, desalination and undersea cables, devastating the international economy
as of 2026-11-04

Recent appearances

Trump’s Post-Midterm Iran Plan Is a Loser | Episode 14
John Mearsheimer · 2026-11-04
2026-11-04 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
Prof. John Mearsheimer : What Happens if the Gulf is On Fire?
2026-11-04 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Nuke Pickaxe Mountain, Then What?
2026-11-02 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
International Law Only Binds the Weak | Ask the Professor
2026-11-01 · Tom Switzerwatch ↗
Mearsheimer & Parsi | Will Trump & Israel strike Iran again?
2026-10-30 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Was It a Mistake for Britain to Fight World War II? | Ask the Professor
2026-10-28 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Does Israel Win If the Gulf Burns? | Ask the Professor
Earlier appearances (57)
2026-10-28 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Iran Can Devastate the Gulf States
2026-10-28 · Glenn Diesenwatch ↗
John Mearsheimer: NATO's Choice as Ukraine Collapses: Negotiate or War with Russia
2026-10-28 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Israel Wants Weak Neighbors
2026-10-27 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
Prof John Mearsheimer : America’s Addiction to War
2026-10-26 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Israel’s Lobby vs US Democracy | A Special Roundtable
2026-10-25 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
This War Is Pushing Iran Toward the Bomb
2026-10-24 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
The US Is Going to Lose in Ukraine
2026-10-23 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Aircraft Carriers Are Basically Useless
2026-10-23 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Are Aircraft Carriers Obsolete? | Ask The Professor
2026-10-22 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Trump Signed a Surrender Document
2026-10-21 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Trump's Three-War Trap | Episode 13
2026-10-20 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Has Trump Found an Iran Exit?
2026-10-19 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Did Russia Manipulate Mearsheimer? | Ask The Professor
2026-10-19 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Bigger Bombs Can't Fix Trump's Losing Strategy in Iran /John Mearsheimer
2026-10-18 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
The "Pivot to Asia" Never Happened
2026-10-18 · Tom Switzerwatch ↗
John Mearsheimer: Ukraine Can’t Win. Is Trump Right? | Tom Switzer
2026-10-17 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Was Oct 7 Legal Under International Law?
2026-10-17 · Glenn Diesenwatch ↗
John Mearsheimer: Russia’s Existential War & the Rise of a Post-Western World
2026-10-16 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
The Iran War Pulled Us Out of Asia
2026-10-16 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Why Can't America Contain China? | Ask The Professor
2026-10-15 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
America Can't Defend the Gulf
2026-10-14 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
We Can't Help Saudi Arabia | Ask the Professor
2026-10-14 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Israel Ran Out of Interceptors
2026-10-13 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Israel's Founder: We Stole Their Country
2026-10-13 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
PROF. John Mearsheimer : Can Trump Bluff Iran Into Surrender?
2026-10-12 · Rachel Blevinswatch ↗
Dr. John Mearsheimer: Saudi Arabia ‘REMARKABLY FOOLISH’ to enter another round of war in YEMEN
2026-10-11 · Tom Switzerwatch ↗
Mearsheimer & Maté: Iran & Houthis strike back | Tom Switzer
2026-10-11 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Iran Won't Let the Houthis Lose
2026-10-10 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Don't Mess With the Houthis!
2026-10-09 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
We’ll Never Beat the Houthis
2026-10-08 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Iran's Doomsday Response
2026-10-07 · Rachel Blevinswatch ↗
Yemen Strikes a ‘FOOL’S ERRAND’ for Saudis – NEXT Front of US-Iran War? | Prof. John Mearsheimer
2026-10-07 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
The Korean War: America vs China | Ask The Professor
2026-10-06 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Has Trump Weakened the US?
2026-10-06 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Why Iran Won't Surrender
2026-10-05 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Invade Iran with 7,500 Troops?
2026-10-05 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Episode 11: Trump Can’t Bluff Iran into Surrender
2026-10-03 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Forget Vietnam, You Get Iran And Iraq | Ask The Professor
2026-10-01 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Will China Attack Taiwan? | Ask The Professor
2026-10-01 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Putin Refuses to Ease Up on HItting Ukraine's Energy /John Mearsheimer
2026-10-01 · Glenn Diesenwatch ↗
John Mearsheimer: US Pullback, Alliance Breakdown and Wars
2026-09-30 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
China Wants the US Stuck in Iran
2026-09-29 · Judging Freedomwatch ↗
Prof. John Mearsheimer : Is Trump Out of Options in Iran?
2026-09-29 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Episode 10: The Inescapable US China Rivalry
2026-09-27 · Tom Switzerwatch ↗
Trump warns he will resume bombing after the midterms: bluster, munitions and the economic pressure to end the war (with Patrick Cockburn)
2026-09-22 · Judging Freedomwatch ↗
Trump's Middle East mess worsens
2026-09-22 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Episode 9: Is Ukraine committing national suicide?
2026-09-18 · Daniel Davis / Deep Divewatch ↗
Ukraine and Iran war blowback is exploding
2026-09-18 · Glenn Diesenwatch ↗
Ukraine may cease to exist: the coming ugly victory
2026-09-16 · John Mearsheimerwatch ↗
Episode 8: The Russia I Saw
2026-09-15 · Judging Freedom (Judge Napolitano)watch ↗
Trump Unintentionally Reshaping Middle East
2026-09-02 · Tom Switzerwatch ↗
Has the War Turned Against Iran?
2026-09-01 · Podcast (Episode 6)watch ↗
Why Ukraine Is Doomed
2026-08-31 · Judging Freedomwatch ↗
Iran War is the Worst Blunder in U.S. History
2026-08-28 · Glenn Diesenwatch ↗
Russia & Iran: the West’s escalation trap
2026-08-23 · The Peacemonger (host: Ian Proud)watch ↗
Why Liberal Hegemony FAILED | Ukraine, Iran & the Buzzsaw of Nationalism
2026-08-23 · Switzerland with Tom Switzer (with Rosemary Kelanic, Defense Priorities)watch ↗
Mearsheimer & Kelanic: "Economic D-Day" on Iran